Zero accidents is a really
Zero accidents is a really lofty goal. Zero fatal accidents perhaps, but zero accidents overall is not a decade away. The AI in these cars really does not calculate well, and at times is just not predictive, and oversafe. An example of this is that a colleague of mine was driving an Impreza in Brooklyn recently, and he complained that the Eyesight system got overwhelmed in the rush hour traffic, and kept cutting in when it should not. He complained that he was unable to scoot into traffic as the AEB was intervening and he felt he had room. Not sure how many other cars these safety systems can track simultaneously, but rush hour in NYC can be a test to any manufacturer's system, and may not be safer than an experienced driver's judgement, and this may continue for years to come.