A couple comments. Both
A couple comments. Both trucks are as much vaporware as the other, since neither are in production. Tesla has never been guilty of vaporware in the traditional sense (they’re not Nikola) though the Roadster and Semi have been delayed a while which will use the same batteries. Also just because giga Austin isn’t finished now means nothing. Look where it was at six months ago compared to today. They could have a portion of it complete before end of year easily.
As far as tax credit, do the math for Ford. They’ll probably hit 200k eligible cars sold by Q4, which means by the time the first Lightning is delivered the tax credit is already down to $3750 and by the time most people start getting them $1875 or $0. Of course that’s assuming a new credit doesn’t pass. If it does, Tesla qualifies as well, and the dual motor Cybertruck would then start at $40k and single at $30k. Though the base likely just won’t be made. They never made the base Model 3 with cloth seats and solid roof and they never made the standard range Model Y and only very briefly made the short range Model S.