"Predictions are that, by
"Predictions are that, by their current rate of advancement, fuel cells should be equivalent in cost per kwh to lithium-ion before 2020 and will have surpassed them in range per pound, durability, and more. So they will definitely be competitive."
Do that math including the cost of fueling infrastructure for HFCVs.
Be sure to include the inefficiency of using electricity to create hydrogen.
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Durability for EV batteries seems to no longer be an issue. A123 has increased their 100% DoD cycle life to 2,000 cycles. In a 150 mile range EV that's 300,000 miles. Two car's worth.
150 mile range, certainly 175 mile range, along with 90%, <20 minute rapid recharge is all that is needed to make EVs fully functional for almost all drivers. A full day of driving with only two moderate stops. Toshiba SCiB lithium-ions used in the Honda FiT take a 90% charge in 18 minutes.
Who will get there first? Hard to say, but it's kind of easy to see who is in the lead.