Tesla FSD Going to $15,000 from $12,000. What Will It Cost In 3 Years?
Tesla is raising the price of its FSD (full self-driving) software and the new cost will be $15,000, up from $12,000, on September 8th, 2022.
Tesla's FSD continues to improve and we have an article that talks about the great work the Tesla AI team is doing with the latest version, along with enabling FSD on NHTSA's in-house Tesla test vehicle.
The first, notable thing that happened with FSD 10.69, is that Chuck Cook's famous unprotected left hand turn is now being solved with regularity. This is a complicated turn even for humans and Tesla has been testing on this turn with their own FSD vehicles. In fact, Chuck Cook's testing of this became so famous that Elon Musk himself took note of it and put it in the FSD patch notes.
Tesla's FSD has steadily increased in price, from around $3,000 at its inception to the now $15,000 coming up. That's a 5x increase. I don't think its unreasonable to expect that in the next 3 to 5 years, that we will see the full price of Tesla's FSD reach $75,000 or more.
Tesla's FSD Progression
In fact, I could see Tesla's FSD reaching over $100,000 once it has been deemed a Level 5 autonomous robotaxi and it is clearly handling traffic consistently way better than the average human.
One of the most phenomenal things that happened with the latest release of Tesla's FSD is that it now handles Chuck's famous unprotected left hand turn. Here is a video below of it being successful many times:
There are only so many "edge" cases that Tesla's FSD needs to solve before we have autonomous vehicles on the road. Two main things that helped with this latest release are two networks: the creep network and the median network. The creep network is the barrier that is placed in the software where the car cannot move past in order to see ahead. The median network is the place the car and go in order to wait to complete its unprotected left hand turn.
These are two pivotal advancements in Tesla's FSD. Tesla FSD also handled the case where a car made a U-Turn and didn't assumed a car in the median as just going to turn left all the way.
I'm looking forward to seeing continued progress of Tesla's FSD software. What do you think of it? Is it going to be wide released at the end of this year?
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Jeremy Johnson is a Tesla investor and supporter. He first invested in Tesla in 2017 after years of following Elon Musk and admiring his work ethic and intelligence. Since then, he's become a Tesla bull, covering anything about Tesla he can find, while also dabbling in other electric vehicle companies. Jeremy covers Tesla developments at Torque News. You can follow him on Twitter or LinkedIn to stay in touch and follow his Tesla news coverage on Torque News.