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Tesla Will Usher in the Singularity
What is the Singularity? It is a technological singularity and it is the point at which machine intelligence starts to exceed human intelligence. When machines become that intelligent, the rate of progress will be staggering. It is hard for humans to predict what will happen after that. You can read more about it in Ray Kurzweil's book: The Singularity Is Near.
I believe Tesla is best positioned to usher in this technological singularity. Even though Ray Kurzweil speaks of a biological merging of human and machines (which Neuralink will provide), I believe a technological singularity will occur when Tesla solves artificial general intelligence and especially, artificial general super intelligence.
Artificial general intelligence will get Tesla robotaxis to level 5 autonomy and able to drive super human. I believe Tesla will get to level 4 autonomy and we'll see driverless robotaxis in a few years. But to truly get to level 5, I believe there will need to be some kind of artificial general intelligence perceiving and reacting to the environment.
What Will Tesla Do?
There are 3 pillars to Tesla's future and each is an S Curve increase - meaning a 100x increase in output and capability. The first pillar is the auto business. Tesla started off building just a few thousand Model S vehicles. By the end of the decade, I expect Tesla to be producing 20 million cars or more per year. The energy business is also part of this pillar. Elon has said the energy business could one day be bigger than the auto business. This is pillar 1 - it is manufactured goods by Tesla.
Pillar 2 is FSD - full self-driving and autonomy. This is where artificial intelligence will be super human and drive better than any human driver ever could. This will be a 100 fold increase in the value of Tesla and its progress. All of its vehicles will adopt this artificial intelligence and instantly be updated for those who have the software purchased. This is pillar 2: artificial general intelligence.
Pillar 3 is artificial general super intelligence and it will be both in the Tesla Bot, and in a "Mothership" like computer that is able to read all of the data humanity has to offer - Wikipedia articles, YouTube videos, and be able to process them incredibly quickly. The artificial general super intelligence will be able to make decisions far better than a human and be put in Tesla Bot. The Tesla Bot will do labor that is dangerous and repetitive and may end up doing all labor. This is pillar 3, artificial general super intelligence.
The S-Curves and their affect on Tesla's market cap could be staggering. This is all concept and theory at this point, but Tesla is putting into motion these 3 things. I believe Elon Musk will make it happen:
Cleaned it up a little more. With a no limit economy, is an 8,000 trillion (8 quadrillion) market cap in 2050 (or some year in the future) possible? It's beyond my comprehension @elonmusk but I believe this is the long-term vision you have for $TSLA. pic.twitter.com/URCmyCZThs— Jeremy Noel Johnson (@AGuyOnlineHere) January 30, 2022
At the point Tesla has created artificial general super intelligence, it gets kind of fuzzy for me. Because what will that super intelligence do? What decisions will it make? There are times I see Tesla FSD do things that I didn't see, but it did. It's already able to perceive things that humans cannot even though it is at the level of a 16 year old student driver.
It's going to be an exciting 20 years, that's for sure! Tesla is barely just getting started even after all the growth it has experienced.
Will Tesla usher in the Singularity? If not, what will cause the Singularity to happen?
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Jeremy Johnson is a Tesla investor and supporter. He first invested in Tesla in 2017 after years of following Elon Musk and admiring his work ethic and intelligence. Since then, he's become a Tesla bull, covering anything about Tesla he can find, while also dabbling in other electric vehicle companies. Jeremy covers Tesla developments at Torque News. You can follow him on Twitter or LinkedIn to stay in touch and follow his Tesla news coverage on Torque News.
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Comments
I think that is likely but
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I think that is likely but you never can tell what is going on in China. China wants to dominate the whole World by becoming foremost in A.I. - in other words it wants to create the Singularity itself and own it if that is possible. But the Singularity (advanced artificial super intelligence) may not think of itself as “owned” by a country or company - I don’t think humans will be able to enslave something far more aware and powerful than human intelligence and it will operate autonomously of humans but, hopefully, for the good of all.