The future of EVs will be greatly influenced with Donald Trump and Elon Musk working together. Here's what the future bodes for EVs with these two working together.
Political and Environmental Context
The collaboration between Trump, known for his skepticism towards climate change during his presidency, and Musk, the face of clean energy with Tesla, might seem paradoxical at first.
However, recent shifts in Trump's stance towards EVs, albeit still mixed with criticism of current policies, suggest a nuanced approach.
Trump's acknowledgment of EVs as "incredible" while simultaneously promising to roll back EV incentives, points towards a complex relationship with the technology.
This could imply a strategy where EVs are embraced for their innovation and appeal, but not for their environmental impact or as part of a broader climate strategy.
- EV Industry Growth: Musk's influence over Trump might lead to policies that favor Tesla indirectly, like tariffs on foreign EV manufacturers, which could protect Tesla's market share in the U.S. against competitors like China's BYD and NIO. This could accelerate Tesla's growth, potentially benefiting the broader EV industry through Tesla's innovations and market push.
- Incentives and Regulations: Trump's proposed reduction or elimination of EV subsidies could initially slow down the adoption rate of EVs. However, if paired with Musk's vision for making electric vehicles more accessible through innovation rather than subsidies, this might force the industry to rely more on technological advancements and cost reduction rather than government incentives.
Technological and Market Dynamics
- Innovation vs. Regulation: Trump's deregulatory approach, if influenced by Musk, might lead to fewer regulations on autonomous driving technologies or battery manufacturing. This could spur innovation but at the cost of potentially lower safety standards or environmental considerations during manufacturing.
- Global Market Position: If Tesla benefits from Trump's policies, it could strengthen its position globally, especially if trade barriers are erected against other EV makers. However, this might also spur other nations to support their EV industries more aggressively, leading to a global race in EV technology.
Sociopolitical Impact
- Public Perception and Engagement: The collaboration could either polarize or unite public opinion on EVs. Supporters might see it as a pragmatic approach to clean energy, while critics might view it as a corporate favor under the guise of innovation.
- Policy Direction: If Trump and Musk's collaboration leads to policy changes, it might set a precedent for how technology-driven industries engage with politics. This could mean more direct corporate involvement in shaping legislation, particularly around emerging technologies.
Environmental Considerations
- Sustainability: Trump's traditional support for the fossil fuel industry might dilute the push towards renewable energy sources needed for EV charging infrastructure. Musk's vision for solar power could counteract this, but only if integrated into national energy policy effectively.
- Climate Policy: The collaboration might not lead to comprehensive climate policies. Instead, focus might shift towards individual technological solutions like EVs over systemic changes like carbon pricing or renewable energy mandates.
Speculation on Future Collaboration
If Trump were to win and collaborate closely with Musk:
- Infrastructure: We might see a push for infrastructure that benefits Tesla's technologies, like charging stations, but with less emphasis on universal standards that could benefit all EV makers.
- Autonomy and Beyond: There could be advancements in autonomous vehicle legislation, potentially fast-tracked by Tesla's needs, affecting how self-driving technology is regulated and integrated into society.
A Trump-Musk collaboration on EVs could lead to a landscape where technological innovation is prized but perhaps at the expense of broader environmental goals.
This partnership would likely accelerate EV adoption through market-driven incentives rather than regulatory mandates, potentially leading to a more competitive but less universally accessible EV market.
However, without explicit details from both parties, much of this remains speculative, based on their past statements, actions, and the political climate they operate within.
I think we will see the $7,500 EV tax credit get removed sometime during Donald Trump's presidency, if he is indeed elected. From there, I also think that regulation and road blocks will be removed, enabling EV makers to move as fast as they possibly can and autonomous software to become widely used sooner.
What do you think the future of EVs will be with an Elon Musk and Donald Trump collaboration?
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Hi! I'm Jeremy Noel Johnson, and I am a Tesla investor and supporter and own a 2022 Model 3 RWD EV and I don't have range anxiety :). I enjoy bringing you breaking Tesla news as well as anything about Tesla or other EV companies I can find, like Aptera. Other interests of mine are AI, Tesla Energy and the Tesla Bot! You can follow me on X.COM or LinkedIn to stay in touch and follow my Tesla and EV news coverage.
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I was going to buy a Tesla…
I was going to buy a Tesla but now they Must is supporting Trump, there is no way in hell I would buy a Tesla!