The Tesla Model 2, the End of All Other EV's

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Tesla's Master Plan Part 2 was written in 2016. Tesla's more recent plans for vehicles were announced at their Battery Day even a few months ago where they specifically outlined their plans for a lower cost ($25K) car, since dubbed the Model 2. Even though the press is trying to advance the delivery timeline, Elon said it would be coming out in 2023. I'm sure that we will get more info on the entry level model later this year, and it may be built next year. One key point will be the mass production of 4680 batteries, and stamped frames, to drop the manufacturing costs to be lower than combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. The pilot 4680 battery factory in Fremont is working now, but I don't think that Tesla will be able to consider the "Model 2" for the U.S. until the new 4680 battery factories in Germany, Texas and Nevada get up to mass volume production next year. I think that China will start building a small compact hatchback Tesla using LFP batteries maybe as early as later this year, or early 2022. Both the Asian and European market are asking for a lower priced, more compact Tesla, along the lines of the wildly successful Renault Zoe. And I think that Tesla will build it within a year from now, but I am not certain that the new, smaller EV will be coming to the U.S. Also if Tesla can have one of the EV support bills go through to allow Tesla and GM to qualify again for the $7500 tax credits, then many EVs will be close to the $25K pricing once you add in the state and other subsidies. Of course that benefit would work for GM's Bolt as well, bringing it's net price close to $20K, and definitely under the $25K mark. So we will have to see how it pans out. Ultimately, EV price drops will benefit everyone.

A great option if you are in a position to charge the car overnight at home. I would not touch an EV unless I could charge it at home.

I firmly hold the belief that EVs are the future, and i would definitely consider picking up a 20k Tesla, but it is plain delusion if you believe that a "Model 2" will be the end of combustion and other brands of EVs. There are still hundreds of millions of combustion vehicles on the roads and in lots, and they arent going anywhere anytime soon. There are still many people who cannot afford even a $20k USD car, and even if they could, an electric car may not be the answer for them, . I dont expect EVs to surpass combustion cars until at least 2035 or 2040, when theres a little more variety.

When one looks as Tesla as an Energy company and fits EVs into applications for the collection, storage, distribution and application of energy, then the usage and benefits of large battery packs in EVs expand beyond ICE. This will speed the acceptance of EVs since they will be significanly more economically viable with the added benefit to the owner (and society as a whole) as an intergral part of a larger energy storage and release system. Alternatively, what do ICEs vehicle contribute? The worldwide manufacture and sale of EVs will exceed ICE vehicles sooner than anyone previously expected...as will the collection and storage of solar wind and perhaps wave energy.

Fantastic future for Tesla but 250 mile range is not going to cut it with most consumers.

And now the news comes out that the $25K Tesla is not coming out in 2022, and possibly not 2023 either. I still suspect that Giga Shanghai will start building a lower priced, smaller Tesla model specifically for the Asian and European market, that will fit smaller European roads, have less power and range, and use LFP batteries. But since such an EV is unlikely to be exported to the U.S. it doesn't really matter for us either way. There are many other automakers eager to fill the entry-model EV marketplace in the next couple years.

Future doesn’t use money and is community and all life driven, so obviously this will need near pay for itself in some sort of autonomous way from the beginning. Also along w re-wilding of the earth and humans being back again to visitors here, this vehicle will need make sense for those that can sense neo-function-ally (or it can’t be). Sure none can get this lost in their primitive survival minds. Creative means new, so won’t make sense to old operating systems (greed/ superficiality). Of course the tech will “magically” appear and this is all very simple in general. Everyone else going more meta, so not so much planetary physical. Mobility the key . Ego isn’t driving the future now. Everything has to align to this or quickly fall by wayside.

The price cut a couple weeks ago in USA and Europe as well as China a month ago has disrupted the entire EV and parts of the ICE industry. The change in the Federal Tax credits yesterday is just a step for Tesla's dominance for the entire business over time.
"Model 2" will be announced about the time 5000 various Cybertrucks have been built production ramp starts. Name and "final" specs will be released then,IMHO.

The price cut a couple weeks ago in USA and Europe as well as China a month ago has disrupted the entire EV and parts of the ICE industry. The change in the Federal Tax credits yesterday is just a step for Tesla's dominance for the entire business over time.
"Model 2" will be announced about the time 5000 various Cybertrucks have been built production ramp starts. Name and "final" specs will be released then,IMHO.